Abstract: Recently, the topic of "two children" has been brushing up the circle of friends. As a producer and service testing and testing industry, what will be the impact of this policy?
1. comprehensive two child policy
these days, the world's major media, whether it is television, websites, and newspapers, should be the most concerned event of the party's eighteen - one - to - one couple can have a policy of having two children. This was followed by the decision to implement &ldquo in the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee and the adjustment of the population policy after the two child &rdquo alone.
recently, the most important thing in the circle of friends is the two child policy, and the humorous and interesting passages emerge in an endless stream: life is not an entanglement, a wife or a daughter-in-law or a small three life talk, a snatching or a postgraduate discussion, and now the two children may be in ethical misplacement, not just entertainment, but also It is the realistic question how to face and how to operate. At the table, at the table, in the park, on the bus, in all public places, on the subject of the most comprehensive two - child policy, talking about the relationship between the boss and the old two, talking about who may have two children, and some concerned have begun to plan their own two child plan, or give birth to two children for their relatives and friends.
according to the analysis of population experts, about 90 million of the couples of child-bearing age in China are now eligible for childbearing conditions, and if there are 30 million couples who want to have a second child, it will be a great number. If the 30 million couples are born together, there may be a peak of fertility. According to Founder Securities estimates, the release of the second child will lead to a new increase of about 52 million 120 thousand newborn babies in the next 4 years. Since the beginning of fifth, the number of new born babies has increased by about 4 million 800 thousand every year. The consumption bonus of the two child boomers is about 120 billion yuan ~1600 billion per year. In the short term, the arrival of two baby boomers will stimulate the development of related food, toys, maternal and child health care, children's clothing, automobile and education industry. In the middle and long term, it will benefit the real estate and other related industries. According to the calculation, if two children are liberalized in an all-round way, the proportion of 20~44 years old will increase by 4% in 2050, and 128 million people will increase in scale. This part of the population will benefit the real estate directly.
in a word, the fifth plenary session on the comprehensive release of the two child policy has been widely welcomed by the society, and will bring a positive impact on the long-term economic and social development of our country, and can alleviate the problem of labor to a certain extent.
The 2. inspection and testing industry benefited from
in the short term, the increase in fertility will have a positive impact on the business of food, medicine, medical, clothing, toys, education and other related fields. As a producer of services, the testing and testing industry will also enjoy the demographic dividend of this special policy. On the one hand, the demographic dividend will stimulate the consumption of related fields and promote the production, circulation and trade of related industries, thus promoting the growth of the demand for the inspection and testing industry. Therefore, the output value of the inspection and testing industry will also be improved. On the other hand, with the increase of labor supply, labor resources will be improved obviously. Both low end manufacturing and high-end manufacturing will be developed. It will take a significant advantage in the world industry chain, promote the sustainable development of China's manufacturing industry and form a sustainable society for inspection and inspection industry. There will be demand. And with the corresponding drop in labor costs, it will also enhance the efficiency of China's inspection and testing industry.
in the short term, the inspection and testing industry can pay close attention to the demand for inspection and inspection in the following industries:
first, the dairy industry, infant formula, the demand for related nutrients will increase. The two is maternal and child daily necessities, such as diapers, milk bottles, feeder, baby cots, baby wheelchairs and other production and consumption is expected to increase. Three, the number and type of toys will also increase, including children's cars, intelligent toys, electric toys, plush toys, animated toys, etc. The four is medical and pharmaceutical, including maternal and child medication, maternal and child medical devices. Five is maternal and child clothing, shoes and hats, especially children's clothing and so on will have remarkable growth. The six is related to infant education products, including musical instruments, sports equipment and so on.
in the medium to long term, demand for real estate, automobiles, motorcycles and tourism products will increase significantly.
the inspection and testing organization can carefully analyze and study the market demand, plan actively, configure the inspection and testing resources and obtain the relevant inspection and inspection legal qualifications, so as to occupy a favorable position in the market.